The Presidential Scoring Framework
Category 13 · Immigration & demographics
13.4

Demographic and labor-market impact

All 16 modern US presidents ranked by their net score on this single sub-criterion. Good and harm are scored 0–10 independently; net is good minus harm. Click a name for the full scorecard.

01
Lyndon B. Johnson
Democrat · 1963 – 1969
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Hart-Celler initiated dramatic demographic shift in subsequent decades: Asian and Latin American immigration grew substantially; foreign-born share began rising from 1970 low.

View 1 source
  • good·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    Hart-Celler Act produced 50-year demographic transformation: foreign-born share rose from ~5% (1965) to ~14% (2020); Asian and Latin American shares grew substantially.

    census.gov
+7/2
+5
02
George H.W. Bush
Republican · 1989 – 1993
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Immigration Act 1990 reshaped demographic trajectory. Foreign-born share continued rising (~8% by 1990 Census).

View 1 source
  • good·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    Foreign-born US population share rose to ~7.9% by 1990 Census, continuing post-Hart-Celler upward trajectory.

    census.gov
+6/2
+4
03
Ronald Reagan
Republican · 1981 – 1989
0 agree · 0 disagreeSign in to react

IRCA legalization transformed demographic profile of 1980s immigrant cohort. Foreign-born share of US population rose from ~6.2% (1980) to ~7.9% (1990). Labor-market integration of legalized population substantial.

View 1 source
  • good·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    Foreign-born share of US population rose from ~6.2% to ~7.9% during Reagan years, substantially driven by IRCA legalization; began the 40-year rise that reached ~14% by 2024.

    census.gov
+6/3
+3
04
John F. Kennedy
Democrat · 1961 – 1963
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Foreign-born share of population at low (~5%) during Kennedy term. Hart-Celler 1965 began demographic shift later.

low confidence
View 1 source
  • good·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    US foreign-born share remained at 20th-century low (~5%) during Kennedy term; demographic transition began post-Hart-Celler.

    census.gov
+4/2
+2
05
Barack Obama
Democrat · 2009 – 2017
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Foreign-born share continued rising (~13% by 2017). Latinx population continued growth. Indian and Chinese H-1B sources changed demographic profile of high-skilled immigrants.

View 1 source
  • good·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    US foreign-born share rose to ~13.5% by 2017, approaching all-time high; demographic transition continuing along multiple dimensions.

    census.gov
+5/3
+2
06
Gerald Ford
Republican · 1974 – 1977
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Era-typical. Hart-Celler effects continuing to shape demographic transition.

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  • good·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    US foreign-born share continued slow rise from 1970 low during Ford term.

    census.gov
+4/2
+2
07
Joe Biden
Democrat · 2021 – 2025
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Immigration-driven labor force growth contributed to economic recovery. Foreign-born share rose to ~14.3% by 2024 — near all-time high. Demographic transition continued.

View 1 source
  • good·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    US foreign-born share rose to ~14.3% by 2024 (near all-time high); immigration was significant contributor to post-COVID labor-force recovery.

    census.gov
+5/3
+2
08
Richard Nixon
Republican · 1969 – 1974
0 agree · 0 disagreeSign in to react

Hart-Celler effects accelerating: Asian and Latin American immigration share rising. Demographic transition underway.

low confidence
View 1 source
  • good·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    Foreign-born share of US population reached its 20th-century low (~4.7%) in 1970 census; subsequent rise begins post-Nixon.

    census.gov
+4/2
+2
09
Bill Clinton
Democrat · 1993 – 2001
0 agree · 0 disagreeSign in to react

Foreign-born share continued rising. NAFTA shifted Mexican migration patterns. Late-1990s tech boom drove H-1B expansion.

View 1 source
  • good·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    Foreign-born population share rose from ~8% (1993) to ~11% (2000); H-1B annual cap raised from 65K to 195K during late-1990s tech boom.

    census.gov
+5/3
+2
10
George W. Bush
Republican · 2001 – 2009
0 agree · 0 disagreeSign in to react

Foreign-born share continued rising (~12% by 2008). H-1B remained substantial. Demographic transition continued.

View 1 source
  • good·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    Foreign-born US population share rose to ~12% by 2008, continuing post-Hart-Celler demographic transition.

    census.gov
+5/3
+2
11
Jimmy Carter
Democrat · 1977 – 1981
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Mariel + Indochinese refugee admissions added ~400,000 to US population. Era-typical demographic patterns.

View 1 source
  • good·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    Foreign-born share continued slow rise during Carter term to ~6.2% by 1980 Census.

    census.gov
+5/3
+2
12
Harry S. Truman
Democrat · 1945 – 1953
0 agree · 0 disagreeSign in to react

Bracero Program continued. DP Act and 1952 Act small relative to overall demographic dynamics. Modest impact.

low confidence
View 1 source
  • harm·Tier 2·Historical record·Unverified

    Bracero Program continued under Truman bringing tens of thousands of Mexican workers annually; total US foreign-born population at historical lows during 1945-1953.

    Bracero Program records 1942-1964; INS annual reports
+4/3
+1
13
Franklin D. Roosevelt
Democrat · 1933 – 1945
0 agree · 0 disagreeSign in to react

Bracero Program initiated 1942 (wartime labor agreement with Mexico) — substantial economic-immigration program though with significant exploitation concerns. Otherwise low-immigration era.

low confidence
View 1 source
  • good·Tier 2·Historical record·Unverified

    The 1942 Bracero Program brought ~200,000 Mexican workers to the US during WWII labor shortages; conditions for workers were poor and the program established a contested precedent.

    Bracero Program executive agreement with Mexico, 1942-1964; wartime labor records
+2/3
-1
14
Dwight D. Eisenhower
Republican · 1953 – 1961
0 agree · 0 disagreeSign in to react

Bracero Program peaked at ~445,000 workers/year (1956). Operation Wetback reversed undocumented labor flow. Mixed labor-market and demographic impact.

View 1 source
  • harm·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    Bracero Program brought 4.5+ million worker-trips total 1942-1964 with peak under Eisenhower; Operation Wetback dramatically reversed undocumented migration patterns mid-decade.

    Bracero Program peak years 1955-1959; Department of Labor Bracero records
+3/5
-2
15
Donald Trump (T1)
Republican · 2017 – 2021
0 agree · 0 disagreeSign in to react

Foreign-born share flat for first time in decades. Agricultural and service-sector labor shortages. Demographic transition continued but immigration component reduced.

View 1 source
  • harm·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    Foreign-born share of US population growth slowed substantially under Trump T1; first sustained restrictionist immigration regime since pre-1965 era.

    census.gov
+3/5
-2
16
Donald Trump (T2)
Republican · 2025 – —
0 agree · 0 disagreeSign in to react

Foreign-born population declining due to mass deportations. Agricultural and service labor shortages emerging. Demographic transition reversing under enforcement regime.

low confidence
View 1 source
  • harm·Tier 1·Statistic·Unverified

    Foreign-born population share showing decline during Trump T2 mass deportation operations; agricultural and service-sector labor shortages emerging in affected regions.

    census.gov
+2/7
-5